Showing the Uncertain Factors in Nuclear Decisions
March 21, 2022 | Grantee Publications | Nuclear Challenges
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Policymakers often approach nuclear decision-making as a simple, tactically driven model. But in fact, mitigation efforts can apply a more nuanced lens, according to a report on nuclear complexity and uncertainty from grantee Chatham House. The report illuminates other factors that impact choices about nuclear weapons, including: reasoning, intuition, biases, and systems noise. All of these elements can contribute to nuclear escalation or de-escalation.

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